M.Phil degree or equivalent degree awarded after 18 years of education in the field with no 3rd division in the academic career from an HEC recognized University / Institution. Fulfill the following TORs
1. Develop a sectoral model for Pakistan to estimate the aggregate economic impact avian Influenza virus AIV infections on the commercial broiler and layer sectors. The model should consider the following:
• Economic impact of the disease on producers with explicit use of the production models partial budget models
• Different types of production systems.
• Prevalence of H9N2 AIV in these production systems
• Control mechanisms in place to mitigate AIV as part of the overall economic impact
• Impact on supply for the different chains
• Estimate prices changes by the changes in supply and its impact on consumer demand Gather data to parameterize the model, Run the model using different scenarios / assumptions for AIV prevalence, vaccination uptake and effectiveness.
• Produce a report summarizing the model and its outputs
• Compile datasets and models for use by other people i.e. with the relevant descriptions, metadata
• Draft manuscript for publication.